• Skyrmir@lemmy.world
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    29 days ago

    Likely voters are those that have voted before, that’s what makes them likely to vote again. For the most part they’re the more accurate people to be polling.

      • Skyrmir@lemmy.world
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        29 days ago

        Because new voters are a rounding error smaller than the error bars of the sample size.

        Polling is pretty much like the unemployment rate. Any individual reading is meaningless, it’s a multitude of readings over time that give any useful information.