Jill Stein hurts Donald Trump more than Kamala Harris, poll suggests
www.newsweek.com
A recent poll shows Jill Stein's appearance on the ballot might be hurting Republicans more than Democrats, a reversal from 2016.
  • jordanlund@lemmy.worldM
    5·
    27 days ago

    It depends on how you define “hurts more”.

    Looking at the polling for PA, but SPECIFICALLY polls done by the same agency, both with Stein and without Stein:

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsylvania/

    Oct. 7-10 857LV
    The New York Times/Siena College
    Harris - 49%
    Trump - 45%
    Stein - 1%
    Oliver - 0%

    Oct. 7-10 857LV
    The New York Times/Siena College
    Harris - 50%
    Trump - 47%

    In terms of raw numbers, yes, with Stein in the race Harris loses 1 point while Trump loses 2, so you’d THINK that means it hurts Trump more.

    But there’s no logistical difference between 47% and 45%.

    In elections where the winner is 50%+1, dropping from 50 to 49 is a HUGE difference.

    • Baron Von J@lemmy.world
      41·
      27 days ago

      In elections where the winner is 50%+1,

      US popular vote elections aren’t 50%+1, though. Whoever has the most votes wins, regardless of percentage.