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Cake day: June 11th, 2025

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  • As a potential independent candidate Cuomo didn’t poll that bad if you don’t consider that:

    • the 39% he got are the same as Mamdani, so it would be 50/50 at best
    • as a known quantity, this 39% are probably his ceiling
    • it still didn’t factor Schumer effectively endorsing Mamdani on social media

    Political players are in still in flux, but, for the right wing of the Democratic Party, moving against Mamdani is getting riskier and riskier by the day. Not only would they lose the “unity” argument to mobilize the left close to the midterms, but the risk of suffering an humiliating defeat is too great.